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Al Naft vs Zakho

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Moutari A.
59' Event
Rostam A.
65'
Raed H.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Naft and Zakho finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Naft
35%
Draws
28%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Zakho haven't matched Al Naft's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Naft a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 68%
Zakho Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naft Zakho
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.82 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Stars League
Al Naft vs Zakho
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Naft
2:0
Mar 13, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Naft
2:1
Dec 12, 2024 Stars League
Al Naft vs Zakho
2:0
May 27, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Al Naft
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Naft Compare

Top Goalscorer Moutari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostam A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naft 68 / 100
Zakho 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naft Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zakho conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Al Naft has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Naft scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Naft VS Zakho
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naft

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
Page 1 of 6

Zakho

(Away)
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
25 Aug
Zakho
2 : 2
Diyala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)