Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Nahda vs Al-Msnaa

Oman Oman

FA Cup
Al Nahda Logo

Al Nahda

3 - 1
FT
Al-Msnaa Logo

Al-Msnaa

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Boumal P.
48' Event
Al-Busaidi A.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Boumal P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Nahda
30%
Draws
0%
Al-Msnaa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Al-Msnaa haven't matched Al Nahda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Nahda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Al Nahda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nahda, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nahda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Msnaa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Al-Msnaa
Matches Played 43 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.37 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al-Msnaa
1:0
Aug 19, 2026 FA Cup
Al Nahda vs Al-Msnaa
3:1
Dec 29, 2025 Sultan Cup
Al-Msnaa vs Al Nahda
1:3
May 19, 2023 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al-Msnaa
3:0
Dec 8, 2022 Professional League
Al-Msnaa vs Al Nahda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Boumal P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Ghafri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Msnaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 85 / 100
Al-Msnaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Al-Msnaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Al Nahda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Al-Msnaa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Nahda scored in 79% of their last 43 outings.

Al-Msnaa let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS Al-Msnaa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.4
25% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 9

Al-Msnaa

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al-Msnaa
06 Sept
Al-Msnaa
0 : 1
Oman Club
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
19 Aug
Al Nahda
3 : 1
Al-Msnaa
29 Dec
Al-Msnaa
1 : 3
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahla 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Oman Club 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Dhofar 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Fanja SC 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
5 Sur Club 2 0 1 1 2:7 1
6 Al Nasr 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Al-Samail 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sohar 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Al Nahda 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
3 Al Seeb 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 Al-Shabab 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
5 Saham 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
6 Al-Msnaa 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Ibri 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)