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Al Nahda vs Al Orouba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

Professional League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Al Kaabi. A.
43' Event
Al Alawi R.

AI Match Summary

The Professional League 2022/2023 game between Al Nahda and Al Orouba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Nahda
35%
Draws
24%
Al Orouba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nahda come out ahead of Al Orouba on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Al Nahda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 68%
Al Orouba Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Al Orouba
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Orouba
2:0
Feb 9, 2023 Sultan Cup
Al Orouba vs Al Nahda
3:2
Jan 30, 2023 Sultan Cup
Al Nahda vs Al Orouba
3:1
Oct 7, 2022 Professional League
Al Orouba vs Al Nahda
1:1
Oct 28, 2020 Professional League
Al Orouba vs Al Nahda
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Kaabi. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Alawi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Al Orouba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 95 / 100
Al Orouba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Al Orouba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Nahda scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Al Orouba has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Nahda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Nahda
2 : 1
Sohar
25 Sept
Ibri
0 : 0
Al Nahda
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 7

Al Orouba

(Away)
23 May
Oman Club
3 : 3
Al Orouba
19 May
Al Orouba
0 : 2
Dhofar
15 May
Sohar
3 : 0
Al Orouba
03 May
Al Orouba
4 : 3
Bahla
18 Apr
Al Seeb
4 : 1
Al Orouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nahda 26 16 8 2 34:8 56
2 Al Suwaiq 26 16 4 6 36:21 52
3 Al Seeb 26 14 9 3 36:14 51
4 Dhofar 26 13 6 7 34:19 45
5 Al Rustaq 26 12 7 7 26:23 43
6 Bahla 26 11 7 8 34:30 40
7 Oman Club 26 9 10 7 25:23 37
8 Sohar 26 11 4 11 24:24 37
9 Al Msnaa 26 7 12 7 22:24 33
10 Al Nasr 26 7 9 10 21:26 30
11 Sur Club 26 8 4 14 22:29 28
12 Al Orouba 26 3 8 15 22:45 17
13 Al Ittihad 26 4 5 17 14:37 17
14 Al Bashaeer 26 3 3 20 17:44 12
Promotion - AFC Cup (Qualification - Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)