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Al Nahda vs Al Rayyan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Sultan Qaboos Sports Complex, Muscat
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Wesley
Assist: Aymen Y.
19' Event
Aymen Y.
Assist: Al Hassan I.
24'
Wesley

AI Match Summary

The AFC Champions League 2 game between Al Nahda and Al Rayyan finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Rayyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Nahda
15%
Draws
45%
Al Rayyan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nahda haven't matched Al Rayyan's recent run of results.
  • Al Rayyan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Rayyan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 11%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Al Rayyan
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.23 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Al Nahda vs Al Rayyan
1:4
Feb 17, 2026 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Rayyan vs Al Nahda
3:1
Oct 22, 2025 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Nahda vs Al Rayyan
1:1
Apr 28, 2010 AFC Cup
Al Nahda vs Al Rayyan
0:2
Mar 16, 2010 AFC Cup
Al Rayyan vs Al Nahda
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nahda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Rayyan Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aymen Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 22 / 100
Al Rayyan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Al Rayyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Rayyan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Al Nahda scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al Rayyan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Al Nahda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS Al Rayyan
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
28 Oct
Al Nahda
1 : 4
Al Rayyan
23 Oct
Saham
0 : 1
Al Nahda
19 Oct
Al Nahda
5 : 1
Sur Club
14 Oct
Al Faisaly Amman
2 : 0
Al Nahda
02 Oct
Al Nahda
2 : 1
Sohar
Page 1 of 6

Al Rayyan

(Away)
28 Oct
Al Nahda
1 : 4
Al Rayyan
23 Oct
Al Sailiya
1 : 6
Al Rayyan
18 Oct
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Al Rayyan
14 Oct
Al Taawon
2 : 1
Al Rayyan
09 Oct
Qatar SC
0 : 3
Al Rayyan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Al Kuwait 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Nasaf Qarshi 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
4 Al Khalidiyah 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Arkadag 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Al Muharraq 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Gol Gohar 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Taawon 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Al Rayyan 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Al Faisaly Amman 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Al Nahda 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Al Hussein 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 East Bengal 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Al Seeb 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Melbourne Victory 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Seoul 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Viettel 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lion City Sailors 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Adelaide Utd 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Tai Po 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Svay Rieng 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Shanghai Shenhua 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Tampines 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Gangwon 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Kitchee 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
4 Kuching City FC 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)