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Al Nahda vs Al Shabab

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Al Thani M.
14'
Oloumou P.
46'
Sub
Al Thani M. In: Al Saqour F.
Out: Al Thani M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gulf Club Champions League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Nahda
35%
Draws
19%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nahda lately — more wins on the board than Al Shabab.
  • Win probability leans Al Nahda's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 68%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nahda Al Shabab
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Nahda vs Al Shabab
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Shabab vs Al Nahda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Habsi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nahda 77 / 100
Al Shabab 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nahda Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Al Nahda remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Nahda scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al Shabab has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Nahda VS Al Shabab
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nahda

(Home)
02 Oct
Al Nahda
2 : 1
Sohar
25 Sept
Ibri
0 : 0
Al Nahda
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 6

Al Shabab

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakho 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Al Qadisiya 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
3 Al Ain 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Sitra 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 6 3 3 0 15:5 12
2 Al Shabab 6 1 4 1 18:7 7
3 Al Nahda 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Tadamone Hadramout 6 1 1 4 3:23 4
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)