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Al Najaf vs Al Zawraa

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Khalaf A. J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Al Najaf in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Najaf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Al Najaf
20%
Draws
52%
Al Zawraa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Zawraa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Zawraa have won more games recently than Al Najaf.
  • Win probability leans Al Zawraa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Najaf Clean Sheet 18%
Al Zawraa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najaf Al Zawraa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al Zawraa
1:0
Jan 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Najaf
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al Zawraa
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Najaf
1:1
Mar 31, 2024 Stars League
Al Zawraa vs Al Najaf
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najaf 10 / 100
Al Zawraa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najaf Al Zawraa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Zawraa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Najaf found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Najaf remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Zawraa has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Najaf VS Al Zawraa
1.29 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najaf

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2
Al Najaf
24 May
Naft Missan
2 : 1
Al Najaf
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
16 May
Zakho
1 : 1
Al Najaf
Page 1 of 6

Al Zawraa

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Al Gharraf
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Al Zawraa
1 : 0
Al Kahraba
03 Sept
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Zawraa
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)