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Al Najaf vs Duhok

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gwargis P.
(Penalty)
71' Event
Louay A.
90' Event
Ibrahim Z.

AI Match Summary

Duhok in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duhok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Al Najaf
35%
Draws
30%
Duhok
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Duhok have won more games recently than Al Najaf.
  • Duhok are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Duhok have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Al Najaf Clean Sheet 11%
Duhok Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najaf Duhok
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Duhok
1:2
Dec 23, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Najaf
1:0
Jun 13, 2025 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Najaf
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Duhok
0:1
Jul 23, 2024 Stars League
Duhok vs Al Najaf
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Najaf Compare

Top Goalscorer Louay A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahim Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najaf 27 / 100
Duhok 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najaf Duhok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duhok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Duhok conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Al Najaf scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Najaf stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Najaf VS Duhok
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najaf

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2
Al Najaf
24 May
Naft Missan
2 : 1
Al Najaf
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
16 May
Zakho
1 : 1
Al Najaf
Page 1 of 6

Duhok

(Away)
18 Sept
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Duhok
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
08 Sept
Duhok
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)