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Al Najma vs Al Ittihad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Al Najma Logo

Al Najma

0 - 3
FT
Al Ittihad Logo

Al Ittihad

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ilenikhena G.
Assist: Al Ghamdi A.
27'
Sub
Simic J. In: Al Julaydan A.
Out: Simic J.
38' Event
Ilenikhena G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Al Najma
35%
Draws
48%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ittihad lately — more wins on the board than Al Najma.
  • Model gives Al Ittihad a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Al Ittihad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ittihad, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ittihad have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 14%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najma Al Ittihad
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 King Cup
Al Najma vs Al Ittihad
0:3
Feb 1, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Najma
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Ittihad
0:1
Apr 10, 2003 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Najma
1:1
Dec 20, 2002 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Ittihad
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Najma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilenikhena G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najma 27 / 100
Al Ittihad 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najma Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Najma scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Al Ittihad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Al Najma remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Najma VS Al Ittihad
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najma

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1
Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0
Al Najma
Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad

(Away)
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -