Sport Picks

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah

Al Najma

0 - 1

Al Ittihad

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Aouar H.

25'

Sub

Al Shanqiti M. In: Simic J.

Out: Al Shanqiti M.

29'

Mitaj M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Al Najma

20%

Draws

38%

Al Ittihad

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Al Ittihad have won more games recently than Al Najma.
Win probability leans Al Najma's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Al Ittihad have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Al Najma Clean Sheet 15%

Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Najma	Al Ittihad
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	16
Draws	7	4
Losses	20	10
Goals Scored	1	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.43	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Saudi Professional League

Al Ittihad vs Al Najma

1:0

Sep 20, 2025 Saudi Professional League

Al Najma vs Al Ittihad

0:1

Apr 10, 2003 Saudi Professional League

Al Ittihad vs Al Najma

1:1

Dec 20, 2002 Saudi Professional League

Al Najma vs Al Ittihad

1:4

Jan 21, 2002 Saudi Professional League

Al Najma vs Al Ittihad

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Najma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kante N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najma 41 / 100

Al Ittihad 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Najma Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Najma found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Ittihad let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Najma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Najma VS Al Ittihad

1 Goals Scored 1.63

1.43 Goals Conceded 1.25

71% Over 1.5 63%

57% Over 2.5 50%

29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najma

(Home)

20 May

Al Najma

1 : 0

Al Shabab

14 May

Al Fateh

2 : 0

Al Najma

09 May

Al Najma

2 : 2

Al Hazem Rass

04 May

Al Ettifaq FC

0 : 0

Al Najma

28 Apr

Al Khaleej

3 : 1

Al Najma

Page 1 of 6

Al Ittihad

(Away)

21 Jul

Orlando Pirates

2 : 3

Al Ittihad

21 May

Al Ittihad

1 : 5

Al Qadsiah

17 May

Al Shabab

3 : 2

Al Ittihad

14 May

Al Ettifaq FC

1 : 3

Al Ittihad

10 May

Al Ittihad

2 : 1

Damac

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nassr	34	28	2	4	91:28	86
2	Al Hilal	34	25	9	0	85:27	84
3	Al Ahli SC	34	25	6	3	71:25	81
4	Al Qadsiah	34	23	8	3	83:34	77
5	Al Ittihad	34	16	7	11	55:48	55
6	Al Taawon	34	15	8	11	59:46	53
7	Al Ettifaq FC	34	14	8	12	51:55	50
8	Neom SC	34	12	9	13	43:48	45
9	Al Hazem Rass	34	11	9	14	38:57	42
10	Al Fayha	34	10	8	16	41:54	38
11	Al Fateh	34	9	10	15	41:55	37
12	Al Khaleej	34	10	7	17	54:62	37
13	Al Shabab	34	8	11	15	44:57	35
14	Al Kholood	34	9	6	19	39:61	33
15	Al Riyadh	34	7	9	18	35:63	30
16	Damac	34	6	11	17	32:55	29
17	Al Okhdood	34	5	5	24	27:70	20
18	Al Najma	34	3	7	24	32:76	16

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