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Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Al-Najma advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al-Najma
15%
Draws
0%
Al-Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Najma come out ahead of Al-Ittihad on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Al-Najma taking it.
  • Al-Najma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Najma, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Najma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Najma Al-Ittihad
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.25 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
4:0
Dec 9, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
1:2
Jan 2, 2019 Bahrain Cup
Al-Najma vs Al-Ittihad
2:0
Oct 27, 2018 King's Cup
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Najma
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Najma 85 / 100
Al-Ittihad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Najma Al-Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Najma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittihad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Al-Ittihad has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Al-Najma's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Najma VS Al-Ittihad
0.75 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Najma

(Home)
11 Sept
Al-Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al-Najma
27 Aug
Al-Najma
2 : 7
Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 7

Al-Ittihad

(Away)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
11 Jan
Al-Ittihad
1 : 5
Al-Ittifaq
24 Jan
Al-Ittihad
2 : 3
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al-Muharraq 2
East Riffa 1
Al-Hidd 7
Qalali 0
Al Riffa 4
Isa Town 0
Busaiteen 2
Malkia 4
Al-Budaiya 1
Al-Hala 2
Bahrain SC 2
Al-Ittihad 4
Al-Ahli 2
Manama Club 4
Al-Shabbab 0
Al-Najma 1
Quarter-finals
Al-Muharraq 2
Al-Hidd 1
Al Riffa 1
Malkia 0
Al-Hala 2
Al-Ittihad 3
Manama Club 1
Al-Najma 2
Semi-finals
Al-Muharraq 3
Al Riffa 1
Al-Ittihad 0
Al-Najma 1
Final
Al-Muharraq 1
Al-Najma 2