Sport Picks

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Al-Najma vs Al Khalidiyah

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Beya J.
51' Event
Bouhra S.
83' Event
Hadji Z.

AI Match Summary

Al Khalidiyah in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Khalidiyah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al-Najma
20%
Draws
38%
Al Khalidiyah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Khalidiyah have won more games recently than Al-Najma.
  • Model gives Al-Najma a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Khalidiyah have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khalidiyah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Najma Al Khalidiyah
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 10 26
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al Khalidiyah
1:3
Jan 9, 2026 Premier League
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Najma
3:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Najma
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al Khalidiyah
1:3
Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
Al Khalidiyah vs Al-Najma
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadji Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Khalidiyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Beya J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouhra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Najma 42 / 100
Al Khalidiyah 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Najma Al Khalidiyah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Al-Najma scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Al-Najma has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Khalidiyah conceded in 57% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Najma VS Al Khalidiyah
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Najma

(Home)
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Najma
2 : 1
Al-Ittihad
16 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 7

Al Khalidiyah

(Away)
16 May
Al-Najma
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
11 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 2
Al-Muharraq
03 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Al Khalidiyah
27 Apr
Al Khalidiyah
2 : 1
Al-Hidd
18 Apr
Sitra
1 : 3
Al Khalidiyah
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)