Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Al Shammari H.
Assist: Narey K.
40'
40'
Al Najjar A.
Assist: Al Khathlan K.
46'
46'
Sub
Al Saeed S. In: Al Mutairi F.
Out: Al Saeed S.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Al Najma and Al Raed finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Al Raed come out ahead of Al Najma on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Al Najma's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 68%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Raed |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Division 1
Al Najma vs Al Raed
1:1
Oct 29, 2024 King Cup
Al Najma vs Al Raed
0:1
Sep 25, 2023 King Cup
Al Najma vs Al Raed
2:1
Feb 6, 2003 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Al Najma
3:0
Nov 8, 2002 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Raed
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Najma Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Najjar A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Al Raed Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Shammari H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Najma 59 / 100
Al Raed 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Najma Al Raed
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Najma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Al Najma scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Al Raed let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Al Najma remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Najma VS Al Raed
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Najma
(Home) 19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1 Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2 Al Najma
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0 Al Najma
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Jabalain
22 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 1 Al Jandal
18 Aug
Al Najma
0 : 3 Al Ittihad
20 May
Al Najma
1 : 0 Al Shabab
Page 1 of 4
Al Raed
(Away) 19 Sept
Al Zulfi
4 : 0 Al Raed
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0 Al Jeel
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0 Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Raed
2 : 3 Hajer
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Al Zulfi
4 : 0 Al Raed
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0 Al Raed
22 Aug
Al Orubah
0 : 1 Al Raed
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0 Al Raed
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ula | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Zulfi | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Taee | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Al Anwar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Damac | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Wehda | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Adalah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 9 | Jeddah Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Al Saqer | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Najma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Al Orubah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 13 | Al Raed | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Hajer | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 15 | Al Okhdood | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Al Jandal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Al Bukiryah | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Al Jeel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
