Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Al Tulayhi R.
23'
23'
Hoedt W.
30'
30'
Al Harabi A.
AI Match Summary
Al Najma in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Najma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Najma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Shabab lately — more wins on the board than Al Najma.
- Model gives Al Najma a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 16%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Najma | Al Shabab |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Shabab
1:0
Jan 20, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Najma
0:0
Apr 25, 2003 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Najma
2:0
Jan 1, 2003 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Shabab
1:3
Mar 21, 2002 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Al Shabab
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Najma 39 / 100
Al Shabab 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Najma Al Shabab
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Najma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Najma scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Al Shabab let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Al Najma went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Najma VS Al Shabab
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Najma
(Home) 19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1 Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2 Al Najma
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0 Al Najma
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Raed
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1 Al Jabalain
22 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 1 Al Jandal
18 Aug
Al Najma
0 : 3 Al Ittihad
20 May
Al Najma
1 : 0 Al Shabab
Page 1 of 4
Al Shabab
(Away) 12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0 Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2 Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1 Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
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09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1 Al Shabab
22 Aug
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Shabab
16 Aug
Al Wehda
3 : 2 Al Shabab
20 May
Al Najma
1 : 0 Al Shabab
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
