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Al Najma vs Damac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Najma host Damac in the Division 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Najma have averaged 1 scored and 2.1 conceded recently, against Damac's 1 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Najma have won 2 to Damac's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.19 - 1.13) back Damac to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al Najma
35%
Draws
43%
Damac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Damac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Najma haven't matched Damac's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 20%
Damac Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Najma Damac
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Najma vs Damac
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Najma
0:0
Sep 23, 2025 King Cup
Al Najma vs Damac
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 King Cup
Al Najma vs Damac
2:0
May 5, 2011 Division 1
Al Najma vs Damac
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Najma 32 / 100
Damac 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Najma Damac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Najma found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Damac conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Najma has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Najma VS Damac
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Najma

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Anwar
1 : 1
Al Najma
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
01 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Jabalain
27 Aug
Jeddah Club
1 : 0
Al Najma
Page 1 of 6

Damac

(Away)
20 Sept
Damac
3 : 2
Al Adalah
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Al Zulfi 6 2 4 0 7:1 10
3 Al Taee 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Al Anwar 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
5 Damac 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
6 Al Jabalain 6 2 3 1 4:4 9
7 Al Wehda 6 1 5 0 9:7 8
8 Al Adalah 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
9 Jeddah Club 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Al Saqer 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Al Najma 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
12 Al Orubah 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
13 Al Raed 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
14 Al Okhdood 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
15 Hajer 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
16 Al Jandal 6 1 2 3 9:9 5
17 Al Bukiryah 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)