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Al Naser vs Al Qadisiya

Kuwait Kuwait

Premier League Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Naser play Al Qadisiya in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Naser averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Al Qadisiya averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, Al Naser won 1, Al Qadisiya won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 31, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Al Naser and 1.31 for Al Qadisiya. This points to a Al Qadisiya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Naser
23%
Draws
47%
Al Qadisiya
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Al Qadisiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Al Naser picked up more points recently compared to Al Qadisiya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Al Naser Clean Sheet 18%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naser Al Qadisiya
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2025 Premier League
Al Naser vs Al Qadisiya
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Naser
4:0
Mar 31, 2025 Crown Prince Cup
Al Qadisiya vs Al Naser
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Al Naser vs Al Qadisiya
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Naser
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naser 31 / 100
Al Qadisiya 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naser Al Qadisiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Qadisiya or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Naser attacking → ← attacking Al Qadisiya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Naser scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Al Qadisiya let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Al Naser went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Qadisiya lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 58
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Kuwait18135046:1044
2Al Qadisiya1895432:1432
3Kazma SC1886422:1730
4Al Arabi (Kuwait)1886428:1330
5Al Salmiya1886421:1230
6Al-Fahaheel1863921:3621
7Al Tadamon18531016:2818
8Al Shabab1846812:3318
9Al Naser18441017:2416
10Al Jahra18221411:398