Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Naser vs Yarmouk

Kuwait Kuwait

Emir Cup Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium, Kuwait
Al Naser Logo

Al Naser

3 - 2
FT
Yarmouk Logo

Yarmouk

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lakdja I.
12' Event
Muhammad Y.
50' Event
Habbassi H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Naser
35%
Draws
32%
Yarmouk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yarmouk lately — more wins on the board than Al Naser.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Yarmouk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Naser, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Naser have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Al Naser Clean Sheet 16%
Yarmouk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Naser Yarmouk
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Emir Cup
Al Naser vs Yarmouk
3:2
May 5, 2025 Premier League
Al Naser vs Yarmouk
5:2
Apr 10, 2025 Emir Cup
Al Naser vs Yarmouk
1:0
Feb 13, 2025 Premier League
Yarmouk vs Al Naser
0:4
Sep 29, 2024 Premier League
Al Naser vs Yarmouk
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Naser Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhammad Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Habbassi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Yarmouk Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakdja I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Naser 31 / 100
Yarmouk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Naser Yarmouk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Al Naser's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Yarmouk let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Al Naser went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Naser VS Yarmouk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Naser

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Qadisiya
3 : 0
Al Naser
30 Aug
Al Naser
2 : 1
Al-Fahaheel
26 Aug
Al Salmiya
1 : 2
Al Naser
26 Jun
Al Naser
1 : 1
Al Jahra
21 Jun
Al Tadamon
1 : 1
Al Naser
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Yarmouk

(Away)
20 Aug
Al Sahel
2 : 3
Yarmouk
17 Aug
Al-Jazira
2 : 0
Yarmouk
14 Aug
Yarmouk
1 : 1
Al Sulaibikhat
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
07 Aug
Yarmouk
0 : 0
Khaitan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Kuwait 3
Al-Jazira 2
Al Naser 3
Yarmouk 2
Al Qadisiya 2
Burgan 0
Al-Fahaheel 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Al Sahel 0
Kazma SC 1
Khaitan 2
Al Salmiya 2
Al Sulaibikhat 1
Al Tadamon 1
Al Jahra 0
Quarter-finals
Al Kuwait 3
Al Naser 0
Al Qadisiya -
Al-Fahaheel -
Al Arabi (Kuwait) -
Khaitan -
Al Salmiya -
Al Tadamon -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -