Sport Picks

Libya

Premier League Martyrs of February Stadium

Al Ahly Benghazi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr play Al Ahly Benghazi in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Nasr averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Al Ahly Benghazi averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, Al Nasr won 2, Al Ahly Benghazi won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 19, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Al Nasr and 1.25 for Al Ahly Benghazi. This points to a Al Nasr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Al Nasr

27%

Draws

36%

Al Ahly Benghazi

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Al Nasr picked up more points recently compared to Al Ahly Benghazi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Al Nasr Clean Sheet 19%

Al Ahly Benghazi Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Nasr	Al Ahly Benghazi
Matches Played	35	33
Wins	21	18
Draws	8	9
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	1.63	1.64
Goals Conceded	0.89	0.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League

Al Nasr vs Al Ahly Benghazi

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

May 22, 2025 Premier League

Al Nasr vs Al Ahly Benghazi

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

May 8, 2025 Premier League

Al Ahly Benghazi vs Al Nasr

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Jul 10, 2024 Premier League

Al Ahly Benghazi vs Al Nasr

Possession: 40% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Apr 22, 2024 Premier League

Al Ahly Benghazi vs Al Nasr

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 37 / 100

Al Ahly Benghazi 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Nasr Al Ahly Benghazi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Nasr or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Nasr attacking → ← attacking Al Ahly Benghazi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr scored in 91% of their last 35 games.

Al Ahly Benghazi let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Ahly Benghazi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 63

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63