Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Nasr vs Al Murooj SC

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Martyrs of February Stadium, Benghazi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nasr in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nasr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Al Nasr
15%
Draws
17%
Al Murooj SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nasr lately — more wins on the board than Al Murooj SC.
  • Model gives Al Nasr a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Nasr here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 20%
Al Murooj SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al Murooj SC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 10 4
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.56 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Murooj SC vs Al Nasr
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al Murooj SC
3:0
Feb 20, 2024 Premier League
Al Nasr vs Al Murooj SC
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Premier League
Al Murooj SC vs Al Nasr
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 85 / 100
Al Murooj SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al Murooj SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Nasr scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Al Murooj SC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Nasr remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Murooj SC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
23 May
Al Nasr
2 : 1
Military Union
19 May
Al Nasr
1 : 0
Al Ahly Benghazi
15 May
Al-Afreeki
1 : 2
Al Nasr
11 May
Al Hilal Benghazi
2 : 3
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

Al Murooj SC

(Away)
22 Apr
Al-Afreeki
5 : 0
Al Murooj SC
16 Apr
Al Murooj SC
3 : 0
Al-Andalus
11 Apr
Al Tahaddi
3 : 1
Al Murooj SC
12 Mar
Al Murooj SC
0 : 1
Wefaq Ajdabiya
06 Mar
Al Murooj SC
0 : 1
Al Akhdar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)