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Al Nasr vs Al Nahda

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Al Wahshi J.
90'

AI Match Summary

Al Nahda in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Nasr
35%
Draws
27%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nasr lately — more wins on the board than Al Nahda.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nahda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 68%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al Nahda
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 21 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al Nahda
0:1
Jan 16, 2026 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Nasr
0:1
Jan 23, 2025 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al Nahda
0:2
Aug 15, 2024 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Nasr
1:0
Apr 8, 2024 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Nasr
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Wahshi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 50 / 100
Al Nahda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Nasr scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Al Nahda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Al Nasr has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Nahda
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
25 Sept
Fanja SC
3 : 1
Al Nasr
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
12 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Al-Msnaa
06 Sept
Dhofar
1 : 2
Al Nasr
30 Aug
Al Nasr
2 : 0
Fanja SC
Page 1 of 7

Al Nahda

(Away)
25 Sept
Ibri
0 : 0
Al Nahda
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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