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Al Nasr vs Al Nahda

Oman Oman

Professional League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Al Wahshi J.
90'

AI Match Summary

Al Nahda in this Professional League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Nasr
6%
Draws
4%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nahda lately — more wins on the board than Al Nasr.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Nahda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 68%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al Nahda
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 16 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al Nahda
0:1
Jan 16, 2026 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Nasr
0:1
Jan 23, 2025 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al Nahda
0:2
Aug 15, 2024 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Nasr
1:0
Apr 8, 2024 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Nasr
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Wahshi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 95 / 100
Al Nahda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Nasr scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Nasr remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Al Nahda registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Nahda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
23 May
Saham
0 : 2
Al Nasr
18 May
Al Nasr
1 : 1
Al-Samail
13 May
Bahla
1 : 3
Al Nasr
04 May
Al Nasr
0 : 1
Al Nahda
27 Apr
Al Nasr
0 : 1
Sohar
Page 1 of 6

Al Nahda

(Away)
23 May
Al Nahda
2 : 3
Al-Shabab
18 May
Bahla
2 : 1
Al Nahda
14 May
Al Nahda
0 : 4
Al Seeb
08 May
Al Nahda
0 : 1
Sohar
04 May
Al Nasr
0 : 1
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Seeb26214159:1467
2Al-Shabab26173651:2754
3Al Nasr26165535:2053
4Al Nahda26135831:2344
5Bahla261241039:3240
6Oman Club26116927:2839
7Sohar26108835:2838
8Sur Club26881034:3732
9Dhofar26761323:3027
10Al-Samail26681225:3926
11Saham26751422:4426
12Ibri26721727:5223
13Al Khaboora264101223:3522
14Al-Rustaq26361724:4615
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