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Al Nasr vs Al-Samail

Oman Oman

Professional League
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Al Naabi I.
90' Event
Al Ghatrifi K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Professional League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Nasr
11%
Draws
9%
Al-Samail
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Nasr lately — more wins on the board than Al-Samail.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Samail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al-Samail
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Professional League
Al Nasr vs Al-Samail
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 Professional League
Al-Samail vs Al Nasr
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 FA Cup
Al-Samail vs Al Nasr
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghatrifi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al-Samail Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Naabi I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 86 / 100
Al-Samail 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al-Samail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Al Nasr has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al-Samail's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Al-Samail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al-Samail
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
23 May
Saham
0 : 2
Al Nasr
18 May
Al Nasr
1 : 1
Al-Samail
13 May
Bahla
1 : 3
Al Nasr
04 May
Al Nasr
0 : 1
Al Nahda
27 Apr
Al Nasr
0 : 1
Sohar
Page 1 of 7

Al-Samail

(Away)
23 May
Al-Samail
0 : 1
Bahla
18 May
Al Nasr
1 : 1
Al-Samail
14 May
Al-Samail
2 : 1
Sohar
05 May
Oman Club
2 : 1
Al-Samail
30 Apr
Al-Samail
0 : 1
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Seeb26214159:1467
2Al-Shabab26173651:2754
3Al Nasr26165535:2053
4Al Nahda26135831:2344
5Bahla261241039:3240
6Oman Club26116927:2839
7Sohar26108835:2838
8Sur Club26881034:3732
9Dhofar26761323:3027
10Al-Samail26681225:3926
11Saham26751422:4426
12Ibri26721727:5223
13Al Khaboora264101223:3522
14Al-Rustaq26361724:4615
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