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Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Maktoum Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Agudelo K.
Assist: Mierez R.
11' Event
Sultan S.
Own Goal
19'
Ndiaye M.

AI Match Summary

Al Sharjah in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sharjah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Nasr
11%
Draws
9%
Al Sharjah
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Sharjah have won more games recently than Al Nasr.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 16%
Al Sharjah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al Sharjah
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 12 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Al Nasr
1:2
Jan 6, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah
2:4
Apr 18, 2025 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Al Nasr
3:0
Oct 18, 2024 Presidents Cup
Al Nasr vs Al Sharjah
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Agudelo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Sharjah Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Lucas
2 Goals
Assists Leader Camara O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 75 / 100
Al Sharjah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al Sharjah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sharjah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Al Nasr scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Solid form: Al Nasr remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Sharjah
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520