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Al Nasr vs Al Wahda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Al Zaabi Z.
Assist: Glauber
18' Event
Khribin O. M.
Assist: de Oliveira G. M.
45'
Mierez R.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Al Nasr and Al Wahda finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Nasr
20%
Draws
42%
Al Wahda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nasr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Al Nasr taking it.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 19%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Al Wahda
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Wahda
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Wahda
2:2
Oct 30, 2025 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Al Nasr
3:2
Apr 4, 2025 UAE League
Al Wahda vs Al Nasr
2:2
Nov 1, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Al Wahda
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Zaabi Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doumbia C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Al Wahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Khribin O. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benteke C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 58 / 100
Al Wahda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Al Wahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nasr found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Wahda let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Al Nasr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Al Wahda
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Nasr
4 : 1
Hatta
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
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Al Wahda

(Away)
01 Oct
Bani Yas
3 : 1
Al Wahda
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)