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Al Nasr vs Hatta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

League Cup Al Maktoum Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Faye B.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Agudelo K.
46'
Sub
Doumbia J. In: Ouahabi G.
Out: Doumbia J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Nasr
30%
Draws
31%
Hatta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nasr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hatta lately — more wins on the board than Al Nasr.
  • Win probability leans Al Nasr's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Hatta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nasr, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Nasr have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Nasr Clean Sheet 19%
Hatta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nasr Hatta
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 League Cup
Al Nasr vs Hatta
4:1
Mar 28, 2024 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Hatta
1:0
Sep 28, 2023 UAE League
Hatta vs Al Nasr
0:3
Feb 26, 2021 UAE League
Al Nasr vs Hatta
2:0
Nov 8, 2020 UAE League
Hatta vs Al Nasr
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Nasr Compare

Top Goalscorer Agudelo K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mierez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Hatta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nasr 58 / 100
Hatta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nasr Hatta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nasr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Nasr scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Hatta has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Al Nasr has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nasr VS Hatta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nasr

(Home)
02 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Nasr
20 Sept
Al Nasr
3 : 1
United FC
10 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 1
Al Nasr
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Ain
2 : 1
Al Nasr
Page 1 of 7

Hatta

(Away)
01 Oct
United FC
3 : 2
Hatta
19 Sept
Hatta
2 : 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
05 Sept
Bani Yas
0 : 1
Hatta
30 Aug
Hatta
0 : 3
Al Sharjah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Bani Yas 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Al Jazira 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Ajman 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Al Nasr 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Al Sharjah 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
7 United FC 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
8 Ittihad Kalba 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
9 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
10 Hatta 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
11 Al Ain 2 0 0 2 4:6 0
12 Al Dhafra 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
13 Al Wahda 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
14 Khorfakkan 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)