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Al Nassr vs Al Kholood - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nassr host Al Kholood in the Saudi Professional League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Al Nassr at 2.41 goals for, 1.19 against; Al Kholood at 1.31 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor Al Nassr slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.56) point toward Al Nassr. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Al Nassr
20%
Draws
23%
Al Kholood
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nassr have won more games recently than Al Kholood.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Al Nassr taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Al Nassr have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 15%
Al Kholood Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr Al Kholood
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 2 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.41 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Nassr
0:3
Sep 14, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Kholood
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Kholood
3:1
Oct 25, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Kholood vs Al Nassr
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 84 / 100
Al Kholood 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr Al Kholood

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nassr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Al Kholood conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Al Nassr has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS Al Kholood
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr

(Home)
12 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
Page 1 of 6

Al Kholood

(Away)
15 Oct
Al Faisaly
3 : 2
Al Kholood
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Khaleej 10 2 6 2 9:13 12
11 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 10 1 3 6 9:20 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)