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Al Nassr vs Al Wasl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Nassr host Al Wasl in the AFC Champions League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Al Nassr at 2.36 goals for, 1.14 against; Al Wasl at 1.96 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Al Nassr slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.94) point toward Al Nassr. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Nassr
15%
Draws
40%
Al Wasl
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Nassr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Nassr come out ahead of Al Wasl on wins alone.
  • Al Nassr are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 10%
Al Wasl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Nassr Al Wasl
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.36 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Al Wasl vs Al Nassr
0:4
Mar 11, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Al Nassr vs Al Wasl
0:0
Feb 3, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Nassr vs Al Wasl
4:0
May 7, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Nassr vs Al Wasl
3:1
Mar 4, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Wasl vs Al Nassr
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Nassr 34 / 100
Al Wasl 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Nassr Al Wasl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Nassr's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Wasl's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Nassr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Nassr VS Al Wasl
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr

(Home)
12 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
Page 1 of 6

Al Wasl

(Away)
12 Oct
Al Wasl
1 : 3
Al Ahli SC
08 Oct
Khorfakkan
1 : 2
Al Wasl
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Al Wasl
3 : 2
Al Ain
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Gamba Osaka 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Beijing Guoan 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shanghai Port 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
5 Johor DT 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
6 Daejeon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Kyoto 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Buriram United F.C. 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Ratchaburi 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
14 Pohang 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Newcastle Jets 2 0 0 2 2:10 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Esteghlal TEH 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Al Hilal 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Al Ahli SC 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Al Qadsiah 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Neftchi Fargona 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
8 Al Nassr 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
9 Pakhtakor 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
10 Shamal 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Al Ittihad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Tractor 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Al Gharafa 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Al Wasl 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Al Sadd 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)