Sport Picks
Al Okhdood vs Al Fateh
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City, Najran 
Match Events
6'
6'
Al Hatila A.
25'
25'
Al Suwailem A.
42'
42'
Al Hatila A.
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 game between Al Okhdood and Al Fateh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Okhdood.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Okhdood
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Okhdood carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Al Okhdood's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Okhdood Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Okhdood | Al Fateh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Fateh
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Okhdood
2:1
Feb 24, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Okhdood vs Al Fateh
1:3
Sep 28, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Okhdood
2:4
Dec 30, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Okhdood
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Okhdood Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Hatila A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Al Fateh Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Okhdood 49 / 100
Al Fateh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Okhdood Al Fateh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Okhdood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Fateh let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Al Okhdood stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Al Okhdood scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Okhdood VS Al Fateh
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Okhdood
(Home) 14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2 Al Okhdood
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2 Al Najma
31 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0 Al Okhdood
26 Aug
Al Bukiryah
1 : 1 Al Okhdood
22 Aug
Al Taee
0 : 2 Al Okhdood
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07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2 Al Najma
18 Aug
Al Okhdood
2 : 0 Al Khaleej
16 May
Al Okhdood
3 : 1 Al Khaleej
30 Apr
Al Okhdood
1 : 3 Al Ettifaq FC
11 Apr
Al Okhdood
0 : 2 Al Nassr
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Al Fateh
(Away) 13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2 Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2 Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0 Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
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13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2 Al Fateh
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0 Al Fateh
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1 Al Fateh
19 Aug
Al Ula
3 : 0 Al Fateh
15 Aug
Al Nassr
3 : 0 Al Fateh
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)
