Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Okhdood vs Al Ula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City, Najran
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Rui Pedro
46'
Sub
Al Hatila A. In: Michael
Out: Al Hatila A.
47' Event
Sow S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Okhdood and Al Ula finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Al Okhdood
30%
Draws
50%
Al Ula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Okhdood haven't matched Al Ula's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Al Ula taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Okhdood Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ula Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Okhdood Al Ula
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 6 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Division 1
Al Okhdood vs Al Ula
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Okhdood Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Lazam K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Ula Compare

Top Goalscorer Horta A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sow S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Okhdood 12 / 100
Al Ula 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Okhdood Al Ula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Al Okhdood found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Al Ula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Okhdood stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Okhdood VS Al Ula
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Okhdood

(Home)
14 Sept
Al Wehda
4 : 2
Al Okhdood
07 Sept
Al Okhdood
2 : 2
Al Najma
31 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0
Al Okhdood
26 Aug
Al Bukiryah
1 : 1
Al Okhdood
22 Aug
Al Taee
0 : 2
Al Okhdood
Page 1 of 6

Al Ula

(Away)
14 Sept
Al Ula
3 : 0
Jeddah Club
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al Ula
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Anwar
0 : 1
Al Ula
23 Aug
Al Ula
3 : 1
Al Jabalain
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Al Zulfi 6 2 4 0 7:1 10
3 Al Taee 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Al Anwar 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
5 Damac 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
6 Al Jabalain 6 2 3 1 4:4 9
7 Al Wehda 6 1 5 0 9:7 8
8 Al Adalah 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
9 Jeddah Club 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Al Saqer 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Al Najma 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
12 Al Orubah 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
13 Al Raed 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
14 Al Okhdood 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
15 Hajer 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
16 Al Jandal 6 1 2 3 9:9 5
17 Al Bukiryah 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)