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Al Orouba vs Al Ittihad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

Professional League 2022/2023 Sur Sports Complex, Sur
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ahmad Musthail M.
59' Event
Kane F. W.
(Penalty)
62' Event
Al Shujaibi M.

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad in this Professional League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Orouba
15%
Draws
36%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Orouba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Orouba average 0.97 goals a game right now, well clear of Al Ittihad's 0.53.
  • Win probability leans Al Orouba's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Ittihad here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al Orouba Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Orouba Al Ittihad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2023 Professional League
Al Orouba vs Al Ittihad
1:2
Sep 10, 2022 Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Orouba
1:0
Jan 22, 2021 Sultan Cup
Al Orouba vs Al Ittihad
2:3
Mar 29, 2014 Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Orouba
0:3
Nov 22, 2013 Sultan Cup
Al Ittihad vs Al Orouba
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Orouba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmad Musthail M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Shujaibi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Orouba 59 / 100
Al Ittihad 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Orouba Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Orouba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Orouba found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Ittihad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Al Ittihad's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Orouba VS Al Ittihad
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Orouba

(Home)
23 May
Oman Club
3 : 3
Al Orouba
19 May
Al Orouba
0 : 2
Dhofar
15 May
Sohar
3 : 0
Al Orouba
03 May
Al Orouba
4 : 3
Bahla
18 Apr
Al Seeb
4 : 1
Al Orouba
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Al Ittihad

(Away)
06 Dec
Sohar
3 : 1
Al Ittihad
22 Oct
Bosher
0 : 1
Al Ittihad
06 Oct
Al Khaboora
2 : 0
Al Ittihad
23 May
Dhofar
4 : 1
Al Ittihad
19 May
Al Ittihad
1 : 3
Sur Club
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nahda 26 16 8 2 34:8 56
2 Al Suwaiq 26 16 4 6 36:21 52
3 Al Seeb 26 14 9 3 36:14 51
4 Dhofar 26 13 6 7 34:19 45
5 Al Rustaq 26 12 7 7 26:23 43
6 Bahla 26 11 7 8 34:30 40
7 Oman Club 26 9 10 7 25:23 37
8 Sohar 26 11 4 11 24:24 37
9 Al Msnaa 26 7 12 7 22:24 33
10 Al Nasr 26 7 9 10 21:26 30
11 Sur Club 26 8 4 14 22:29 28
12 Al Orouba 26 3 8 15 22:45 17
13 Al Ittihad 26 4 5 17 14:37 17
14 Al Bashaeer 26 3 3 20 17:44 12
Promotion - AFC Cup (Qualification - Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)