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Al Orouba vs Al Nahda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

Sultan Cup 2022/2023 Sur Sports Complex, Sur
Al Orouba Logo

Al Orouba

Thu, Feb 9, 2023
3 - 2
01:10 PM
Al Nahda Logo

Al Nahda

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Al Yahmadi D.
49' Event
Camara D.
80' Event
Al Harthy A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Al Orouba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Al Orouba
35%
Draws
41%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Orouba haven't matched Al Nahda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Nahda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Al Nahda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Nahda, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Al Orouba Clean Sheet 25%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Orouba Al Nahda
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al Orouba
2:0
Feb 9, 2023 Sultan Cup
Al Orouba vs Al Nahda
3:2
Jan 30, 2023 Sultan Cup
Al Nahda vs Al Orouba
3:1
Oct 7, 2022 Professional League
Al Orouba vs Al Nahda
1:1
Oct 28, 2020 Professional League
Al Orouba vs Al Nahda
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Orouba Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Yahmadi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Harthy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Orouba 21 / 100
Al Nahda 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Orouba Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Al Orouba's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Nahda let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Orouba stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Nahda
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Orouba

(Home)
23 May
Oman Club
3 : 3
Al Orouba
19 May
Al Orouba
0 : 2
Dhofar
15 May
Sohar
3 : 0
Al Orouba
03 May
Al Orouba
4 : 3
Bahla
18 Apr
Al Seeb
4 : 1
Al Orouba
Page 1 of 6

Al Nahda

(Away)
02 Oct
Al Nahda
2 : 1
Sohar
25 Sept
Ibri
0 : 0
Al Nahda
21 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Saham
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Shabab 4
Nizwa 2
Al Khaboora 0
Sohar 1
Al Seeb -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nasr -
Saham 0
Al Wahda 2
Al Bashaeer 2
Sur Club 1
Al Suwaiq 2
Majees 0
TBD -
Dhofar -
Al Bdea 0
Bahla 1
TBD -
Al Rustaq -
Oman Club 2
Al Ahli/Sedab 0
Muscat 0
Al Ittihad 1
Salalah SC 2
Al Mudhaibi 0
Al Orouba 2
Fanja SC 1
Ibri 0
Al Nahda 2
Al Msnaa 1
Al Ettifaq 0
1/8-finals
Al Shabab 2
Sohar 1
Al Seeb 2
Al Nasr 0
Al Wahda 0
Al Bashaeer 1
Al Suwaiq 3
Dhofar 2
Bahla 0
Al Rustaq 1
Oman Club 2
Al Ittihad 0
Salalah SC 0
Al Orouba 1
Al Nahda 3
Al Msnaa 1
Quarter-finals
Al Shabab 0
Al Seeb 1
Al Bashaeer 0
Al Suwaiq 4
Al Rustaq 2
Oman Club 1
Al Orouba 4
Al Nahda 5
Semi-finals
Al Seeb 3
Al Suwaiq 0
Al Rustaq 0
Al Nahda 1
Final
Al Seeb 0
Al Nahda 1