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Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya

Kuwait Kuwait

Premier League 2025/2026 Mohammed Al Hamad Stadium, Kuwait
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mbengue A.
13' Event
Al Mutar J.
33' Event
Mbengue A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Qadisiya and Al Salmiya finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Qadisiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al Qadisiya
15%
Draws
42%
Al Salmiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Qadisiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Qadisiya come out ahead of Al Salmiya on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Al Qadisiya taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al Qadisiya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Salmiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadisiya Al Salmiya
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.94 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya
3:2
May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya
2:1
Oct 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Salmiya vs Al Qadisiya
0:0
Apr 24, 2025 Crown Prince Cup
Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya
3:1
Apr 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Qadisiya vs Al Salmiya
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qadisiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbengue A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Mutar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Salmiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuwaid N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Turkmani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadisiya 59 / 100
Al Salmiya 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadisiya Al Salmiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadisiya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al Qadisiya scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Al Qadisiya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Salmiya conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Qadisiya VS Al Salmiya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qadisiya

(Home)
24 Sept
Al Qadisiya
1 : 2
Al-Fahaheel
04 Sept
Al Qadisiya
3 : 0
Al Naser
31 Aug
Al Qadisiya
0 : 1
Al Kuwait
25 Aug
Al-Fahaheel
1 : 2
Al Qadisiya
04 Aug
Al Qadisiya
3 : 1
Al Orubah
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Al Salmiya

(Away)
06 Sept
Al Salmiya
1 : 0
Al Sahel
01 Sept
Al Tadamon
0 : 2
Al Salmiya
26 Aug
Al Salmiya
1 : 2
Al Naser
29 Jun
Kazma SC
3 : 0
Al Salmiya
25 Jun
Al Salmiya
1 : 0
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Kuwait 23 15 8 0 56:15 53
2 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 23 11 6 6 37:17 39
3 Al Qadisiya 23 11 6 6 38:20 39
4 Kazma SC 23 10 8 5 28:21 38
5 Al Salmiya 23 10 7 6 29:22 37
6 Al-Fahaheel 23 6 4 13 23:48 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)