Sport Picks
Al Qadsiah vs Al Hazem Rass
Saudi Arabia
King Cup 2025/2026 Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam 
Match Events
9'
9'
Al Habashi N.
Assist: Al Somah O.
22'
22'
Retegui M.
Assist: Nandez N.
41'
41'
Al Shahrani Y.
AI Match Summary
Al Qadsiah in this King Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Qadsiah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Al Hazem Rass haven't matched Al Qadsiah's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Al Qadsiah taking it.
- Al Qadsiah have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al Qadsiah, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 68%
Al Hazem Rass Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Qadsiah | Al Hazem Rass |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Hazem Rass
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Qadsiah
1:5
Oct 28, 2025 King Cup
Al Qadsiah vs Al Hazem Rass
3:1
Mar 6, 2023 Division 1
Al Qadsiah vs Al Hazem Rass
1:1
Oct 10, 2022 Division 1
Al Hazem Rass vs Al Qadsiah
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Qadsiah Compare
Top Goalscorer Retegui M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Quinones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Al Hazem Rass Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Habashi N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Qadsiah 95 / 100
Al Hazem Rass 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Qadsiah Al Hazem Rass
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Qadsiah scored in 91% of their last 32 games.
Al Hazem Rass's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Al Qadsiah remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Qadsiah VS Al Hazem Rass
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Qadsiah
(Home) 26 Jul
Levante
1 : 0 Al Qadsiah
15 Jul
Real Oviedo
0 : 0 Al Qadsiah
21 May
Al Ittihad
1 : 5 Al Qadsiah
14 May
Al Qadsiah
2 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
09 May
Al Fayha
1 : 2 Al Qadsiah
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14 May
Al Qadsiah
2 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
03 May
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1 Al Nassr
14 Apr
Al Qadsiah
2 : 2 Al Shabab
13 Mar
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
28 Feb
Al Qadsiah
1 : 1 Al Taawon
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Al Hazem Rass
(Away) 21 May
Al Hazem Rass
2 : 0 Al Taawon
14 May
Al Qadsiah
2 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
09 May
Al Najma
2 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
02 May
Al Hazem Rass
0 : 3 Al Hilal
28 Apr
Neom SC
1 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
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14 May
Al Qadsiah
2 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
09 May
Al Najma
2 : 2 Al Hazem Rass
28 Apr
Neom SC
1 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
03 Apr
Al Ittihad
1 : 0 Al Hazem Rass
06 Mar
Al Khaleej
2 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Al Batin3
Al Ettifaq FC2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)0
Al Ahli SC5
Al Orubah1
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hazem Rass2
Neom SC1
Al Raed0
Al Okhdood1
Al Adalah0
Al Hilal1
Al Jabalain1
Al Fateh2
Al Jubail0
Al Riyadh1
Al Bukiryah1
Al Kholood2
Al Najma2
Damac1
Al Taee0
Al Khaleej5
Al-Faisaly0
Al Taawon4
Jeddah Club0
Al Nassr4
Al Wehda0
Al Ittihad1
Abha2
Al Shabab3
Al Zulfi1
Al Fayha0
1/8-finals
Al Batin0
Al Ahli SC3
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hazem Rass1
Al Okhdood0
Al Hilal1
Al Fateh2
Al Riyadh0
Al Kholood1
Al Najma0
Al Khaleej2
Al Taawon1
Al Nassr1
Al Ittihad2
Al Shabab1
Al Zulfi0
Quarter-finals
Al Ahli SC4
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hilal4
Al Fateh1
Al Kholood4
Al Khaleej3
Al Ittihad4
Al Shabab1
Semi-finals
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
Al Kholood3
Al Ittihad2
Final
Al Hilal2
Al Kholood1
