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Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Qadsiah host Al Hilal in the Saudi Professional League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Al Qadsiah have averaged 2.39 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against Al Hilal's 2.55 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Qadsiah have won 1 to Al Hilal's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.94) point toward Al Hilal. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Qadsiah
20%
Draws
42%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Al Hilal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 10%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadsiah Al Hilal
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 21 25
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 2.39 2.55
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Qadsiah
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Super Cup
Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal
0:0
May 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Qadsiah
2:0
Jan 27, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Hilal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadsiah 34 / 100
Al Hilal 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadsiah Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Qadsiah scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Al Qadsiah went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Hilal has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Qadsiah VS Al Hilal
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qadsiah

(Home)
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1
Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
Page 1 of 7

Al Hilal

(Away)
13 Oct
Al Sadd
0 : 2
Al Hilal
10 Oct
Al Hilal
3 : 2
Al Ittihad
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
11 Al Khaleej 9 1 6 2 6:11 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 9 1 3 5 7:17 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)