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Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
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Match Events

24'
Quinones J.
40'
Lopy D.
45' Event
Ilenikhena G.
Assist: Bergwijn S.

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Al Qadsiah
20%
Draws
35%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ittihad haven't matched Al Qadsiah's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Qadsiah's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 16%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadsiah Al Ittihad
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.43 1.82
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad
0:1
May 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Qadsiah
1:5
Jan 22, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad
2:1
May 30, 2025 King Cup
Al Ittihad vs Al Qadsiah
3:1
Mar 6, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Ittihad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qadsiah Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilenikhena G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadsiah 66 / 100
Al Ittihad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadsiah Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qadsiah's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Qadsiah stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Al Ittihad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Qadsiah VS Al Ittihad
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qadsiah

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
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Al Ittihad

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Hilal
3 : 2
Al Ittihad
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
12 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
13 Al Fayha 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
14 Al Khaleej 8 0 6 2 4:11 6
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
17 Al Taawon 8 0 3 5 3:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)