Sport Picks
Al Qadsiah vs Al Nassr
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Al Qadsiah play Al Nassr in the Saudi Professional League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Qadsiah averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Al Nassr averaged 2.59 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. In past meetings, Al Qadsiah won 5, Al Nassr won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Al Qadsiah and 2.19 for Al Nassr. This points to a Al Qadsiah double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Qadsiah picked up more points recently compared to Al Nassr.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.19 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Qadsiah | Al Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 20 | 27 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.6 | 2.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Qadsiah Compare
Al Nassr Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Qadsiah scored in 97% of their last 30 games.
Al Nassr let in goals in 47% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Al Qadsiah went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Al Nassr lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nassr | 34 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 91:28 | 86 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 85:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 71:25 | 81 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 83:34 | 77 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 55:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Al Hazem Rass | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:57 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Al Fateh | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 41:55 | 37 |
| 12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 54:62 | 37 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 35:63 | 30 |
| 16 | Damac | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 32:55 | 29 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 27:70 | 20 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 32:76 | 16 |