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Al Qadsiah vs Al Sadd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Qadsiah host Al Sadd in the AFC Champions League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Al Qadsiah have averaged 2.43 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Al Sadd's 2.68 scored and 1.86 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.94) point toward Al Qadsiah. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Qadsiah
15%
Draws
35%
Al Sadd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Qadsiah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Qadsiah a 50% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 10%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qadsiah Al Sadd
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.43 2.68
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qadsiah 65 / 100
Al Sadd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qadsiah Al Sadd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Qadsiah scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Sadd conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Al Qadsiah remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Sadd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Qadsiah VS Al Sadd
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qadsiah

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 6

Al Sadd

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)