Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Qalah vs Al Nairea

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Qalah in this Division 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Qalah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Qalah
30%
Draws
47%
Al Nairea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nairea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Nairea have won more games recently than Al Qalah.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Qalah Clean Sheet 14%
Al Nairea Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qalah Al Nairea
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Division 2
Al Nairea vs Al Qalah
4:3
Oct 11, 2025 Division 2
Al Qalah vs Al Nairea
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qalah 35 / 100
Al Nairea 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qalah Al Nairea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nairea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Al Qalah scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Al Nairea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Al Qalah remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Qalah VS Al Nairea
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qalah

(Home)
09 Apr
Hajer
2 : 1
Al Qalah
03 Apr
Al Qalah
1 : 0
Wej Sports Club
27 Mar
Ohod
1 : 1
Al Qalah
13 Mar
Al Qalah
2 : 2
Al Loa
06 Mar
Al Rayan
1 : 0
Al Qalah
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Al Nairea

(Away)
07 Apr
Al Nairea
3 : 1
Al Gottah
04 Apr
Al Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al Nairea
3 : 2
Al Qous
13 Mar
Arar
2 : 3
Al Nairea
06 Mar
Al Nairea
0 : 2
Al Saqer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)