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Stadium Background

Al Qanah vs Abu Qir Semad

Egypt Egypt

Division 2 A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Qanah play Abu Qir Semad in the Division 2 A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Qanah averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.55 conceded. Abu Qir Semad averaged 1.06 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, Al Qanah won 2, Abu Qir Semad won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 6, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Al Qanah and 0.88 for Abu Qir Semad. This points to a Al Qanah double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Al Qanah
33%
Draws
28%
Abu Qir Semad
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Qanah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Qanah picked up more points recently compared to Abu Qir Semad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Al Qanah Clean Sheet 25%
Abu Qir Semad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qanah Abu Qir Semad
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 12
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.58 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.55 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Division 2 A
Al Qanah vs Abu Qir Semad
3:0
Oct 9, 2025 Division 2 A
Abu Qir Semad vs Al Qanah
1:0
Apr 10, 2025 Division 2 A
Al Qanah vs Abu Qir Semad
1:1
Dec 2, 2024 Division 2 A
Abu Qir Semad vs Al Qanah
1:2
Dec 5, 2023 Division 2 A
Al Qanah vs Abu Qir Semad
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qanah Compare

Top Goalscorer Abosena H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamada M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Abu Qir Semad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qanah 40 / 100
Abu Qir Semad 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qanah Abu Qir Semad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Qanah or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Qanah attacking → ← attacking Abu Qir Semad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qanah scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Abu Qir Semad let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Al Qanah went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Abu Qir Semad lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 48
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Qanah34229356:1975
2Asyut Petroleum341612642:2760
3Abu Qir Semad341513640:2558
4Masar341510947:2955
5Proxy341316541:3155
6La Viena341412838:2354
7WE Sports Club3411131030:3446
8Al-Sekka3412101228:3346
9El Mansoura34917828:2744
10Maleyeit Kafr El Zayiat3411111231:2944
11Tersana348161031:3240
12El-Entag El-Harby3410101438:4740
13El Daklyeh3410101431:4340
14Dayrout348141222:3338
15Tanta345181127:3633
16Baladiyat El Mahalla347111634:3832
17Aswan345101915:4225
18Raya344102020:5122