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Al Qanah vs El Gouna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
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Match Events

6' Event
Wayo M.
Assist: Hany M.
45'
El Gazar O.
45' Event
Gamal A.
Assist: Khaled A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Al Qanah
35%
Draws
16%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Qanah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Qanah have won more games recently than El Gouna.
  • Al Qanah are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Qanah Clean Sheet 68%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Qanah El Gouna
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 8
Draws 6 13
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.59 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Premier League
Al Qanah vs El Gouna
1:1
Jan 3, 2025 Egypt Cup
El Gouna vs Al Qanah
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Qanah Compare

Top Goalscorer Wayo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Gamal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Qanah 59 / 100
El Gouna 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Qanah El Gouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qanah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Qanah's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

El Gouna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Qanah has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Qanah VS El Gouna
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Qanah

(Home)
07 Oct
Pyramids
3 : 2
Al Qanah
17 Sept
ZED FC
2 : 1
Al Qanah
07 Sept
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gaish
01 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 0
Al Qanah
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
Page 1 of 6

El Gouna

(Away)
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)