Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Qassim vs Al-Hudod

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Rashed S.
42' Event
Bakkar K.
45' Event
Hussein D.

AI Match Summary

Al-Qassim in this Stars League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Qassim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Al-Qassim
15%
Draws
76%
Al-Hudod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Hudod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Hudod have won more games recently than Al-Qassim.
  • 76% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Al-Qassim Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Hudod Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Qassim Al-Hudod
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 24 20
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al-Hudod
3:2
Jan 3, 2025 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al-Qassim
2:4
May 28, 2024 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al-Hudod
1:0
Dec 7, 2023 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al-Qassim
3:3
Jun 3, 2023 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Al-Qassim
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Qassim Compare

Top Goalscorer Rashed S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bakkar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Hudod Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussein D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antwi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Qassim 37 / 100
Al-Hudod 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Qassim Al-Hudod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Hudod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hudod let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Al-Qassim found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Al-Qassim went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Qassim VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Qassim

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0
Al-Qassim
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2
Al Najaf
19 May
Al-Qassim
2 : 5
Naft Missan
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1
Al-Qassim
10 May
Duhok
2 : 1
Al-Qassim
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Al-Hudod

(Away)
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
25 Jun
Al Shorta
3 : 1
Al-Hudod
18 Jun
Al-Hudod
1 : 0
Naft Missan
14 Jun
Al Kahraba
1 : 2
Al-Hudod
20 May
Al-Hudod
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al-Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)