Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Abd Majbas O.
53'
53'
Ogaili M.
90'
90'
Abdulkhaleq M.
AI Match Summary
The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al-Qassim and Al-Karma finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
5%
15%
80%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Karma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Al-Qassim haven't matched Al-Karma's recent run of results.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Al-Karma taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Al-Karma have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al-Qassim Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Qassim | Al-Karma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 0 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 24 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.72 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al-Karma
2:2
Jan 13, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al-Qassim
1:0
May 7, 2025 Stars League
Al-Qassim vs Al-Karma
1:3
Nov 1, 2024 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al-Qassim
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al-Qassim Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdulkhaleq M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hassan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al-Karma Compare
Top Goalscorer Abd Majbas O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ogaili M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Qassim 10 / 100
Al-Karma 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Qassim Al-Karma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Karma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Karma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Al-Qassim scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Al-Qassim stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al-Qassim VS Al-Karma
0.83 Goals Scored 1.5
2.17 Goals Conceded 0.5
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Qassim
(Home) 01 Jun
Al Mosul
3 : 0 Al-Qassim
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2 Al Najaf
19 May
Al-Qassim
2 : 5 Naft Missan
14 May
Al Zawraa
1 : 1 Al-Qassim
10 May
Duhok
2 : 1 Al-Qassim
Page 1 of 6
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2 Al Najaf
19 May
Al-Qassim
2 : 5 Naft Missan
06 May
Al-Qassim
3 : 3 Al Minaa
26 Apr
Al-Qassim
2 : 2 Al-Karma
14 Apr
Al-Qassim
1 : 5 Al Gharraf
Page 1 of 3
Al-Karma
(Away) 19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0 Zakho
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2 Al-Karma
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0 Al Naft
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2 Al-Karma
30 Aug
Al-Karma
2 : 0 Karbala
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Erbil
1 : 2 Al-Karma
03 Sept
Diyala
1 : 2 Al-Karma
26 Aug
Al Kahraba
1 : 1 Al-Karma
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3 Al-Karma
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1 Al-Karma
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
