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Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Bahri

Iraq Iraq

Super League 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Yousif A.
44' Event
Effa-Owona J.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Natiq S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2018/2019 game between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Bahri finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
39%
Draws
31%
Al Bahri
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 20%
Al Bahri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Bahri
Matches Played 41 29
Wins 33 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 2.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2019 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Bahri
3:1
Jan 29, 2019 Stars League
Al Bahri vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:3
Jun 18, 2018 Stars League
Al Bahri vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1
Feb 2, 2018 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Bahri
2:0
Jul 5, 2017 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Bahri
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Yousif A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Natiq S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Al Bahri Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 31 / 100
Al Bahri 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Bahri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 93% of their last 41 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Bahri conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Bahri
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 9

Al Bahri

(Away)
23 Jul
Al Bahri
3 : 1
Al Shorta
18 Jul
Al Bahri
1 : 2
Al-Hudod
13 Jul
Erbil
3 : 1
Al Bahri
08 Jul
Al Diwaniya
1 : 2
Al Bahri
03 Jul
Al Bahri
2 : 1
Al Hussein
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Shorta38278373:2289
2Al Quwa Al Jawiya38259458:2784
3Al Zawraa381714757:4065
4Al Naft381615760:3963
5Naft Missan381514957:4759
6Al Karkh3815121144:3557
7Al Wasat3811171038:3750
8Baghdad3812141236:3550
9Al-Hudod3812141235:4150
10Al Kahraba3810181041:4148
11Erbil3812121434:3648
12Al Najaf389171241:4344
13Al Talaba3810141447:5244
14Al Diwaniya389171232:4344
15Naft Al-Basra381191837:5342
16Alsinaat Alkahrabaiya389141530:3841
17Al Minaa388161434:4240
18Al Simawa38892126:5933
19Al Bahri386112139:6629
20Al Hussein385122129:5227
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