Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Kahraba

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ouattara M.
Own Goal
32' Event
Esquerdinha L.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Aiad A.

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
33%
Draws
27%
Al Kahraba
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Kahraba haven't matched Al Quwa Al Jawiya's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Quwa Al Jawiya's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Kahraba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Kahraba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Kahraba
3:2
Jan 28, 2026 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
May 1, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Kahraba
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Stars League
Al Kahraba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:0
May 22, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Kahraba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulameer S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jouini H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Kahraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Aiad A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50 / 100
Al Kahraba 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Kahraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Kahraba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Quwa Al Jawiya remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Kahraba
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

Al Kahraba

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Duhok
1 : 2
Al Kahraba
19 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 2
Al Gharraf
15 May
Baghdad
0 : 1
Al Kahraba
11 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)