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Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Naft

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
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AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Naft finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
28%
Draws
22%
Al Naft
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Quwa Al Jawiya's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Naft
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Naft
0:0
Dec 23, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Naft
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Naft
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 59 / 100
Al Naft 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Naft

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Al Naft has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Quwa Al Jawiya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Naft
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966