Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Najaf

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Jawad M.
49' Event
Al-Subhi E.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Najaf finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
6%
Draws
4%
Al Najaf
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%
Al Najaf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Najaf
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 1 20
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Najaf
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:2
Jul 8, 2025 Iraq Cup
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Najaf
3:1
Apr 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Najaf
3:0
Jan 25, 2025 Stars League
Al Najaf vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Jawad M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al-Subhi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Najaf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 95 / 100
Al Najaf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Najaf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Quwa Al Jawiya's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Al Najaf has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Quwa Al Jawiya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Al Najaf
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3 : 2
Zakho
28 May
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
20 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Zawraa
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
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Al Najaf

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Najaf
1 : 0
Al Zawraa
28 May
Al-Qassim
1 : 2
Al Najaf
24 May
Naft Missan
2 : 1
Al Najaf
20 May
Al Najaf
2 : 5
Al Karkh
16 May
Zakho
1 : 1
Al Najaf
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)