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Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Pakhtakor in the AFC Champions League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Pakhtakor's 1.72 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 0 to Pakhtakor's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2021, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.50, favoring Pakhtakor. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
30%
Draws
51%
Pakhtakor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pakhtakor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Pakhtakor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Pakhtakor taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pakhtakor have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 16%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Quwa Al Jawiya Pakhtakor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.71 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2021 AFC Champions League
Pakhtakor vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:0
Apr 17, 2021 AFC Champions League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor
0:0
Feb 12, 2019 AFC Champions League
Pakhtakor vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 19 / 100
Pakhtakor 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Pakhtakor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Quwa Al Jawiya scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Pakhtakor let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Quwa Al Jawiya VS Pakhtakor
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

(Home)
12 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 4
Al Ain
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1
Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Pakhtakor

(Away)
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1
Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1
Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Gamba Osaka 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Beijing Guoan 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shanghai Port 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
5 Johor DT 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
6 Daejeon 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Kyoto 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Buriram United F.C. 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Ratchaburi 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
14 Pohang 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Newcastle Jets 2 0 0 2 2:10 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Esteghlal TEH 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Al Hilal 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Al Ahli SC 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Al Qadsiah 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Neftchi Fargona 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
8 Al Nassr 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
9 Pakhtakor 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
10 Shamal 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
11 Al Ittihad 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
12 Tractor 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Al Gharafa 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Al Wasl 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
15 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Al Sadd 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)