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Al Raed vs Al Hilal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

King Cup King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Al Raed Logo

Al Raed

0 - 2
FT
Al Hilal Logo

Al Hilal

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Neves R.
(Penalty)
60'
Sub
Al Shammari H. In: Al Harbi A.
Out: Al Shammari H.
65'
Sub
Dahal S. In: Mahzari M.
Out: Dahal S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Al Raed
15%
Draws
64%
Al Hilal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Al Hilal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Al Hilal taking it.
  • Al Hilal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Hilal, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Hilal here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 10%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Raed Al Hilal
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 11 20
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.76 2.46
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 King Cup
Al Raed vs Al Hilal
0:2
May 7, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Al Hilal
3:5
Dec 7, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Raed
3:2
Feb 18, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Raed
3:1
Aug 24, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Raed vs Al Hilal
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Raed Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Neves R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Raed 10 / 100
Al Hilal 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Raed Al Hilal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Al Raed scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Al Hilal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 26 matches.

Al Raed has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Raed VS Al Hilal
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Raed

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Zulfi
4 : 0
Al Raed
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0
Al Jeel
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Raed
2 : 3
Hajer
Page 1 of 6

Al Hilal

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al Raed 0
Al Hilal 2
Al Bukiryah 2
Al Hazem Rass 3
Al Orubah 1
Abha 0
Al Okhdood 2
Al Khaleej 0
Al Ula 3
Al Fateh 0
Al Anwar 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Al Zulfi 0
Al Riyadh 2
Al Adalah 0
Al Fayha 2
Al Jabalain 1
Al Ettifaq FC 0
Al Najma 0
Al Ittihad 3
Al Diriyah 1
Al Nassr 4
Jeddah Club 0
Al Kholood 5
Damac 0
Al Taawon 3
Al Wehda 3
Al Shabab 2
Al Taee 0
Al Qadsiah 5
Al Faisaly 1
Neom SC 3
1/8-finals
Al Hilal -
Al Hazem Rass -
Al Orubah -
Al Okhdood -
Al Ula -
Al Ahli SC -
Al Riyadh -
Al Fayha -
Al Jabalain -
Al Ittihad -
Al Nassr -
Al Kholood -
Al Taawon -
Al Wehda -
Al Qadsiah -
Neom SC -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -