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Al Raed vs Al Jeel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Al Johar O.
37' Event
Narey K.
(Penalty)
37'
Al Saleh A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Raed and Al Jeel finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Raed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Raed
30%
Draws
23%
Al Jeel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Raed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Jeel come out ahead of Al Raed on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jeel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Raed Al Jeel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Division 1
Al Raed vs Al Jeel
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Raed Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shammari H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Narey K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Al Jeel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Raed 31 / 100
Al Jeel 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Raed Al Jeel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Raed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Raed scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Al Jeel has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Al Jeel has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Raed VS Al Jeel
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Raed

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Zulfi
4 : 0
Al Raed
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0
Al Jeel
02 Sept
Al Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Raed
2 : 3
Hajer
Page 1 of 6

Al Jeel

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Jeel
0 : 0
Hajer
15 Sept
Al Orubah
1 : 0
Al Jeel
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0
Al Jeel
01 Sept
Al Jeel
0 : 0
Jeddah Club
27 Aug
Al Jabalain
1 : 0
Al Jeel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ula 6 6 0 0 15:2 18
2 Al Zulfi 6 2 4 0 7:1 10
3 Al Taee 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Al Anwar 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
5 Damac 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
6 Al Jabalain 6 2 3 1 4:4 9
7 Al Wehda 6 1 5 0 9:7 8
8 Al Adalah 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
9 Jeddah Club 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Al Saqer 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
11 Al Najma 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
12 Al Orubah 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
13 Al Raed 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
14 Hajer 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
15 Al Okhdood 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
16 Al Jandal 6 1 2 3 9:9 5
17 Al Bukiryah 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
18 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 0:7 2
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)