Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Raed vs Al Jubail

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Tweh S.
36'
Al Shardi B.
43'
Whaeshi B.

AI Match Summary

Al Raed in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Raed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al Raed
15%
Draws
0%
Al Jubail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Raed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Raed lately — more wins on the board than Al Jubail.
  • Win probability leans Al Raed's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al Raed Clean Sheet 68%
Al Jubail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Raed Al Jubail
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.77 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Division 1
Al Raed vs Al Jubail
1:0
Nov 4, 2025 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Al Raed
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Raed Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Salouli S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 1.04

Al Jubail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Raed 95 / 100
Al Jubail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Raed Al Jubail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Raed Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Raed's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Al Jubail let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Al Jubail's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Al Raed VS Al Jubail
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Raed

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Zulfi
4 : 0
Al Raed
14 Sept
Al Najma
1 : 1
Al Raed
09 Sept
Al Raed
3 : 0
Al Jeel
02 Sept
Al-Ula
2 : 0
Al Raed
28 Aug
Al Raed
2 : 3
Hajer
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Al Jubail

(Away)
13 May
Al Adalah
2 : 0
Al Jubail
09 May
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al-Ula
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3
Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Jubail
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
20 Apr
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al Wehda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)