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Match Events
21'
21'
38'
38'
45'
45'
AI Match Summary
Al Reef in this Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Najma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Al Najma have won more games recently than Al Reef.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Al Najma taking it.
- Al Najma arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Al Reef, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Reef Clean Sheet 10%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Reef | Al Najma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 40 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.54 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 13, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Al Reef vs Al Najma
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Reef 10 / 100
Al Najma 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Reef Al Najma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Najma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Najma let in goals in 80% of their last 40 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Al Reef scored in 54% of their last 13 outings.
Al Reef went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Reef VS Al Najma
2 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Reef
(Home) 12 Jan
Isa Town
3 : 2 Al Reef
02 Feb
Al Reef
1 : 6 Al Khalidiyah
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1 Al Reef
24 Jan
Al Reef
0 : 5 Manama Club
17 Jan
Al Hidd
4 : 0 Al Reef
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02 Feb
Al Reef
1 : 6 Al Khalidiyah
24 Jan
Al Reef
0 : 5 Manama Club
14 Jan
Al Reef
0 : 1 Al Hala
15 Oct
Al Reef
1 : 1 Bouri
19 Mar
Al Reef
0 : 5 Manama Club
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Al Najma
(Away) 11 Sept
Al Najma
2 : 3 East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1 Al Najma
27 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 7 Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2 Manama Club
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3 Al Najma
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02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1 Al Najma
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3 Al Najma
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3 Al Najma
28 Apr
Malkia
3 : 0 Al Najma
02 Apr
Al Shabbab
1 : 1 Al Najma
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hidd | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Riffa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 3 | Ali CSC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Isa Town | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Budaiya | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manama Club | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Ahli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Busaiteen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Reef | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 5 | Al Najma | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ittifaq | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Khalidiyah | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Shabbab | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Al Hala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Umm Al Hassam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Qalali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Malkia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahrain SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Bouri | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | East Riffa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Al Muharraq | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 5 | Sitra | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Tadamun Buri | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)
