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Al Reef vs Busaiteen

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Busaiteen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al Reef
15%
Draws
0%
Busaiteen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Reef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Busaiteen come out ahead of Al Reef on wins alone.
  • Busaiteen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Busaiteen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Busaiteen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Reef Clean Sheet 10%
Busaiteen Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Reef Busaiteen
Matches Played 13 33
Wins 3 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.92 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 2.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Al Reef vs Busaiteen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Reef 26 / 100
Busaiteen 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Reef Busaiteen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busaiteen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Busaiteen conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

Busaiteen's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Al Reef's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Reef VS Busaiteen
0.8 Goals Scored 1.63
3.6 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 50%
80% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Reef

(Home)
12 Jan
Isa Town
3 : 2
Al Reef
02 Feb
Al Reef
1 : 6
Al Khalidiyah
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1
Al Reef
24 Jan
Al Reef
0 : 5
Manama Club
17 Jan
Al-Hidd
4 : 0
Al Reef
Page 1 of 3

Busaiteen

(Away)
24 Jan
Busaiteen
0 : 4
Bahrain SC
19 May
Al-Shabbab
3 : 2
Busaiteen
15 May
Busaiteen
1 : 3
Al Riffa
09 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1
Busaiteen
04 May
Busaiteen
2 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hidd 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Al Riffa 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
3 Ali CSC 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
4 Al Ittihad 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Isa Town 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Al Budaiya 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 5 0 0 17:2 15
2 Al Ahli 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
3 Busaiteen 5 3 0 2 10:11 9
4 Al Reef 5 2 1 2 7:11 7
5 Al Najma 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
6 Al Ittifaq 5 0 0 5 4:15 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 5 5 0 0 14:0 15
2 Al Shabbab 5 3 1 1 10:2 10
3 Al Hala 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
5 Qalali 5 1 1 3 2:9 4
6 Malkia 5 1 0 4 2:15 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain SC 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
2 Bouri 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
3 East Riffa 5 2 1 2 8:3 7
4 Al Muharraq 5 2 1 2 13:10 7
5 Sitra 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
6 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)